Newsletter

Beneath the Surface: Rates, Resilience, and What’s Next by Jonathan Amoia

Strong equity performance can make the broader environment appear calm, but the bond market is telling a more complicated story. As Treasury yields rise, borrowing costs increase across mortgages, corporate debt, and government financing. At the same time, persistent inflation pressures, elevated energy costs, military spending, and weakening foreign demand for U.S. Treasuries are creating […]

Read More

Artificial Intelligence – The Job Creator? by Jonathan Amoia

Artificial intelligence continues to drive extraordinary investment and market enthusiasm, but its impact on the labor market remains far less certain. Over recent months, several leading technology executives have shifted from warning about widespread job displacement to emphasizing AI’s potential to create new opportunities. Yet that more optimistic narrative sits alongside continued layoffs, rising automation, […]

Read More

Beyond the Horizon by Jonathan Amoia

Equity markets continue to climb, but beneath the surface, the forces driving that momentum are becoming increasingly complex. A recent Nasdaq selloff highlighted just how dependent today’s market has become on extraordinary AI-related growth. Even strong economic data can now pressure stocks when it raises the likelihood of higher interest rates, while companies delivering exceptional […]

Read More

The Divorce of Main & Wall Street by Jonathan Amoia

Artificial intelligence is reshaping more than technology—it is changing the relationship between corporate profitability, employment, consumer confidence, and market performance. While major U.S. companies continue investing hundreds of billions of dollars into AI infrastructure and automation, many are simultaneously reducing workforces and improving margins. Investors have often rewarded those decisions, helping push equity markets higher […]

Read More

The Chasm Before Us by Jonathan Amoia

Global markets are navigating a delicate intersection of geopolitical uncertainty, energy dependence, and remarkable technological investment. The conflict involving Iran has brought oil back to the forefront, with rising prices carrying implications that reach well beyond energy markets. Persistent pressure could influence consumer spending, inflation, interest rates, corporate margins, and ultimately the pace of economic […]

Read More